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Hedging Strategies for Oil Producers
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| Introduction |
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il producers operate in an
environment subject to adverse price movement in the international oil market. This
exposure to such risk is enough to increase a companys costs or dramatically reduce
its profits. As risk exposure reduces the producers appeal to investors and makes
gaining access to debt markets more difficult, the need to efficiently manage exposure to
fluctuating commodity prices is clearly one of the greatest challenges facing an
exploration and production company today.
In this presentation, we discuss several swap and option based strategies that oil
producers can use to manage their market risk. All of these strategies can be structured
for a variety of international crudes and products. Hedging periods and protection levels
can be customized to fit any maturity and price level.
While the examples in this presentation are denominated in U.S. dollars, Sempra Energy
Trading ® Corp. ("SET") can also offer hedging instruments in other major
currencies.
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Why Hedge?
Figures 1 & 2 show recent historical volatility of crude prices. As can be seen
from these figures, forward crude prices are extremely difficult to predict and subject to
rapid and significant change. A comparison of crude and heating oil historical
volatilities with those of metals or financial assets shows that oil is one of the most
volatile of all commodities.
- Stake holders prefer companies that perform as planned
- Hedging stabilizes cash flows
- Reduces cost of capital
- Secures company objectives
- Enables management to measure performance
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Doing nothing to manage
risk is in itself a risky move.
Fixed for Floating Swaps Participation Swaps Spread Swaps Caps and Floors Collars Hybrid Strategies
Figure 1. WTI 20-Day Moving Average: 1996-2007

Figure 2. Average of 20-Day
Historical Volatility (In Percent)

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| Fixed For Floating Swaps |
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Overview
fixed for
floating swap is a privately negotiated, financially settled forward contract covering a
series of forward pricing periods.
A swap is designed to transfer, or "swap,"specific price risk between the
swap purchaser (e.g., the End User) and the swap provider (e.g., SET) through a
contractual exchange of payments. It involves the payment of a fixed price times a
notional amount by one party, in exchange for a floating price times the same notional
amount from another party.
A swap enables oil end users to fix the purchase price of future oil consumption
and thus minimize any exposure to rising prices. By locking in prices, producers
gain greater control over the variable revenues and costs inherent in their businesses.
The financial settlement ensures that traditional customer (i.e., physical)
relationships are not distributed.
There is no commission for a swap.
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Specific Terms of Swap Agreements
Reference Price An agreed upon pricing source and calculation method to
establish the current or floating price of the commodity.
Fixed Price The agreed upon price which is multiplied by the quantity of the
commodity to calculate the size of the fixed payment.
Floating Price The Reference Price as calculated for a pricing period, which
is multiplied by the quantity of the commodity to calculate the floating payment.
Swap Maturity The length of the swap contract, which may cover several pricing
periods.
Pricing Periods A schedule of agreed upon forward time periods. At the end of
each pricing period the floating price is evaluated, and the floating and fixed payments
are exchanged. Monthly, quarterly and annual pricing periods are commonly used.
Reference Quantity The notional amount of the commodity used to determine the swap cash
flows at the end of each pricing period.
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Application
An Oil Producer of
300,000 bbl/month sells crude oil to its customers at an agreed-upon index price. The firm
wants more predictable cash flows in order to determine its ability to capitalize on
exploration and production opportunities next year.
To help accomplish this objective, the Producer enters into a one-year swap with SET to
hedge 1/3 of its production at a fixed price of $22.00/bbl. This swap hedge is financially
equivalent to a forward sale of 100,000 barrels of crude oil per month for 12 months.
On each Settlement Date, the Producer receives from SET a fixed payment equal to
$22.00/barrel.
The Producer, in exchange, makes a floating payment to SET based on the arithmetic
average of the daily settlement prices of the prompt NYMEX crude oil futures contract for
each of the Pricing Periods for which the Reference Price is quoted.
The floating payment paid to SET should closely approximate the payment received by the
Producer from its customer(s) for physical deliveries of crude oil. The net result is that
by combining the swap with its current physical crude oil contract, the Producer receives
$22.00/bbl for its oil sales.
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Sample Terms

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Results
The table below
shows the Swap transaction results, given different monthly average WTI prices.
Swap Results on a Settlement Date in US$/bbl (first 5 months)

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Discussion
A Swap enables the Crude Oil Producer to fix the sale price for future periods.
The Producer receives a positive pay-off from the swap if crude oil prices fall. However,
the Producer faces opportunity cost under the transaction if crude oil prices rise.
Financial settlement ensures that the Producer can offset its SET swap transaction with
transactions carried out with traditional customers.
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| Participation Swaps |
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Overview
he participation
swap contract establishes a minimum average forward sale price, while offering between 25%
-100% participation in upward price moves.
It is an attractive alternative to many other producer hedging strategies because
it overcomes the problem of forfeited upside price movements in a conventional swap.
Because of the forward sale, the Producer achieves complete price
protection from any decrease in oil prices. If prices rise instead, the Producer
participates in the favorable price move at the participation rate once average
prices rise above the forward sale level.
The participation swap strategy outperforms the basic swap if prices rise sufficiently.
It is most appropriate if strong upward price moves are expected, yet prices also seem
vulnerable to sudden downward spikes.
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Strategy
The Producer sells
forward, establishing a minimum average sale price.
The participation swap price is set at a slight discount to the regular swap price.
In exchange for a lower forward price, the Producer receives the right to participate
in favorable price moves above a specified participation price level at an agreed upon
participation rate.
There is no up-front payment.
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Sample Terms

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| Spread Swaps |
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Overview
pread swaps are
designed to allow the Producer to lock in the differentials between commodity prices at
different time periods (e.g., calendar swaps), or the price differentials between
different commodities (e.g., crack swaps).
In a spread swap, the swap purchaser (e.g., the Producer) pays a pre-agreed fixed
spread level in exchange for a floating spread level from the swap provider (e.g., SET).
The transaction is usually financially settled.
Through the use of spread swap, the Producer achieves complete price
protection from significant shifts in price differentials, without affecting its
traditional physical customer relationships..
There is no commission for a spread swap.
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| Caps And Floors |
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Overview
aps and floors
are options which provide the right, but not the obligation, to enter into a long or short
position at a specified price.
Caps, also referred to as "call options," establish a maximum average
purchase price for future oil consumption. They provide full protection from rising prices
while allowing the buyer to benefit fully from decreases in oil prices. Caps are usually
bought by oil end users.
Floors, also referred to as "put options," establish a minimum average sale
price for future oil production. They provide full protection from falling prices while
allowing the buyer to benefit fully from increases in oil prices. Floors are usually
bought by oil producers.
The buyer of the cap or floor agrees to pay a predetermined cash premium for the
protection. The premium varies with the selected strike price, term of the contract, and
length of the averaging period.
Caps and floors are usually financially settled based on the average oil price over a
specified period. While long dated maturities are available, monthly and quarterly
averaging periods are the most popular.
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Specific Terms of Cap/Floor Agreements
Call Option The right, but not the obligation, to buy a fixed quantity of a
commodity, for a predetermined price, at a specific date in the future. A Call option
ensures a maximum price at which the commodity can be purchased.
Put Option The right, but not the obligation, to sell a fixed quantity of
a commodity, for a predetermined price, at a specific date in the future. A Put
option ensures a minimum price at which the commodity can be sold.
Premium The price the option buyer pays and the seller receives for the
option.
Strike Price The predetermined price at which the commodity can be
purchased or sold, if the option is exercised.
Expiration Date The date on which the option contract ends, and the
option is either exercised or expires.
Volatility A measure of the price change of a commodity over a period of
time.
Caps A Strip of call options with staggered expiration dates. A Cap
ensures a maximum purchase price for several future periods.
Floors A Strip of put options with staggered expiration dates. A Floor
ensures a minimum sales price for several future periods.
Averaging Period A predetermined time period ending with option
expiration. The payoff of an APO's is determined by comparing the average commodity price
over this period with the option strike price.
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Application
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An Oil Producer is
exposed to highly volatile oil prices, which have significant impact on its cash flow and
its ability to service its debt. In order to decrease the chance of default, the
Producers banks and creditors require that the company protect itself against a
significant drop in oil prices. Specifically, the Producer and its lenders have determined
that oil prices below $20.00/bbl will severely hamper the companys ability to
service its debt.
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In order to gain downside price protection, the Producer enters into a two-year
$20.00/bbl strike floor agreement with SET for 100,000 bbl/month at a $1.25/bbl premium.
The market price is based on averaging the daily prompt NYMEX crude oil futures contract
settlement prices in each forward period over the contract term.
During the life of the agreement,
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The Producer continues to sell 100,000 bbl/month of its oil production to its regular
customers at agreed-upon index prices.
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SET receives an upfront $1.25/bbl monthly premium for providing the price protection
below $20.00/bbl.
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The Producer receives the market price for oil, as long as the market price is above
$20.00/bbl for a given month. If the market price falls below $20.00/bbl, SET pays the
Producer the difference between the market price and the floor price.
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Arranged in conjunction with the physical floating price sale, the floor agreement
ensures that the oil sale price received by the Producer will never be less than
$18.75/bbl (i.e., $20.00/bbl - premium of $1.25/bbl).
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Risk-Reward Profile

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Discussion
Floors offer the Oil Producer the opportunity to minimize exposure to
unanticipated decrease in oil prices without any loss of participation in favorable price
moves.
With cap and floor purchases, all risks are predefined; the maximum
"cost" or "loss" incurred by the buyer will always be the up-front
premium payment.
The financial downside risks of receiving less than $18.00/bbl for its oil are far
greater than the cost of the oil price protection.
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| Collars |
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Overview
collar, also
referred to as "min-max strategy," is a zero or low cost hedging strategy that assures
the Oil Producer a minimum / maximum price range for future oil sales.
Under a collar contract, the minimum possible sale price is equal to the floor
price and the maximum possible sale price is equal to the ceiling price. For prices within
this range, the Producer achieves the market price.
The contract is normally financially settled and often covers several pricing periods.
There is usually no up-front premium payment. Under a standard zero cost collar
contract, the Producer can specify either the "floor" or the "ceiling"
price level. The other price level is calculated by SET to ensure a zero-premium expense.
If the Producer wishes, it can specify both price levels, but then it may incur some
premium expense or income.
The Producer gains complete price protection from any prices below the floor price.
However, in exchange for zero up-front premiums, any benefit from an oil price increase
above the ceiling price is foregone.
The collar is, in many ways, similar to a swap, but it allows for greater flexibility
through some market responsiveness. The collar outperforms a swap strategy if prices
increase.
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Application
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An independent Oil
Producer with an annual production of 1.2 million barrels wants to protect 50% of its
production from falling oil prices. However, it does not want to pay a cash premium for
the protection, and also requires more flexibility than a standard swap can provide.
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In order to achieve this objective, the Producer enters into a one-year WTI zero-cost
collar agreement with SET for 50,000 bbls per month. Under the agreement, the Producer is
protected with a floor price of $20.00/bbl. In exchange for this protection, the Producer
agrees to limit its upside price potential with a price cap of $24.00/bbl.
During the life of the agreement,
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The Producer continues to sell oil to its regular customers at the agreed upon index
prices.
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At the end of each month, if the monthly average WTI price is below the $20.00/bbl
floor price level, the Producer receives a payment equal to the amount by which the
average is below the floor price.
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If the average WTI price is above the $24.00/bbl ceiling price level, the Producer is
obligated to make a payment equal to the difference between the ceiling price and the
average price.
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If the average prices move within the floor/ceiling range, no payments are required
under the contract and the Producer achieves the prevailing market prices.
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Sample Terms

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Risk-Reward Profile

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Discussion
The collar assures that the Producer receive a fixed price range for crude oil
sales at no monetary cost. The costless collar is partially "paid for" by giving
up the potential favorable price movement above the ceiling.
The collar can be structured to match specific production characteristics.
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| Hybrid Strategies |
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Overview
ybrid strategies,
sometimes called "hybrids," combine the basic building blocks of swaps and
options to create highly structured financial products that oil producers can use to meet
specific hedging objectives.
Given the over-the-counter financial tools and the flexibility inherent in the oil end
users physical system, hybrids can be used to address virtually any risk profile. It
is possible to establish a hedging program at higher than market levels and/or to reduce
the cost of option based strategies.
Hybrids can take on a variety of forms. The more common hybrid products include:
- Extendable swaps
- Double-up or double-down swaps
- Participating collars
- Swap options (or "Swaptions")
- Cross-commodity indexed swaps
- Range swaps (or other instruments utilizing digital options)
- Extendable collars (or other applications of compound options)
- Barrier or "knock-out" options
- One time settlement options
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Extendable Swaps
Extendable swaps
are similar to fixed for floating swaps except that SET has the right to extend the
contract maturity for a prespecified amount of time for the same Reference Quantity.
The advantage of the extendable swap is that the swap Fixed Price is higher than that
of a conventional swap. For example, the Oil Producer enters into a one year extendable
swap with SET. Whereas the swap Fixed Price for a comparable fixed for floating swap for
the same contract maturity and Reference Quantity would be $22.00 per barrel, the swap
Fixed Price for the extendable swap for the crude oil producer would be $22.50 per barrel.
If the prespecified contract extension is set for another year, the Producer will
continue to sell prespecified quantities for the period at the same price if SET elects to
extend the swap maturity.
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Extendable Swaps: Sample Terms

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Double-Up Swaps
A double-up swap is similar to a
basic swap except that it offers the Oil Producer the opportunity to significantly improve
its effective sale price.
Under a double-up swap, the Producers swap fixed price is set higher than for an
otherwise identical conventional swap. In exchange, the Producer agrees to sell on any
settlement date prespecified additional quantities of the commodity at the swap fixed
price, if SET elects to buy these additional quantities.
The double-up swap is usually structured for financial settlement.
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Participating Collars
Participating collars allow for
index flexibility within a specified price range and provide a predetermined percentage
gain from any favorable price moves.
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Swap Options
Swap Options, or
"Swaptions,"provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a swap at
a predetermined fixed price, in exchange for a premium payment.
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Cross-Commodity Indexed Swap
Cross-commodity
indexed swaps allow the Oil Producer to synthetically shift revenues from one commodity to
another to reduce price risk and volatility.
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Range Swaps
In a range swap, the
Oil Producer sells a swap at a level above the current market. However, the swap ceases to
exist if the market settles below the pre-determined level in any individual month.
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Application
A Producer sells a
crude oil swap to SET at a fixed price of $23.00 (when the market price is $22.00).
If the market settles below $19.00/bbl in any month, the swap ceases to exist for that
month, meaning that the Producer does not have a hedge.
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Barrier or "Knock-Out" Options
Barrier options are
similar to conventional options, except for the addition of a second expiration feature
which makes them cheaper to purchase.
In addition to the usual option terms, an "out" price level is specified. If
the commodity price is at or moves through the "out" price level, at any time
during the life of the option, the option expires immediately. Otherwise, the Barrier
option offers the same protection as a conventional option.
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| Sempra Energy Trading ® Corp. Profile |
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empra Energy Trading ® Corp.
(SET), formerly AIG Trading Corporation, is a subsidiary of Sempra Energy, a San
Diego-based Fortune 500 energy services holding company with the largest U.S. utility
customer base. As of December 31, 1999, Sempra Energy had an equity market value of US$4.2
billion, total assets of US$12 billion and total revenues of US$5.5 billion. Sempra Energy
has a credit rating of "A."
Sempra Energy Trading ® Corp. trades financial and physical crude and petroleum products,
natural gas, natural gas liquids and electricity as a principal in North America and
Europe. SET is one of the largest physical and financial market-makers in the natural gas
and power industry in the U.S. and Canada, and one of the leading traders of crude and
petroleum products in North America and Europe.
Business Objectives :
SET was established to engage in hedging, trading and financing activities related to
the energy and other commodities markets. Each of the SET trading departments includes a
team of specialists who have extensive experience with trading, hedging, and corporate
finance. SET offers a full array of products including spot, forwards, leases, swaps,
options and other derivative products. Furthermore, SET's specialists will structure
hedging and financing programs to meet the specific needs of each client.
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